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其他
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0002.jpg?sign=1739318898-kMFCL7eSrXFbBtbJ2d2q7creT78wrL2R-0-d14284a60cf6a459d3375f55e1b3f9e6)
图1.12 中国台湾地区FOF统计数据
数据来源:Bloomberg,星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0003.jpg?sign=1739318898-sYUBcYNZaj3ZVUw5lxDP9RO94nTyOK7p-0-0aa7b742df15679ae1a67c5985c912a5)
图1.25 桥水全天候基金的走势图
数据来源:Bridgewater,星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0004.jpg?sign=1739318898-qK9Z5bYqaKWJeRm2RatZ3xDHQcPhru65-0-a07a89bcf61bfe3f1bf4b485f3760f3e)
图3.13 耶鲁基金模式资产配置
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0005.jpg?sign=1739318898-TwmlqapFdU9sxJvqQGC5A4EMrClwbTKc-0-f956531eba8030686fe1938c39baf38d)
图3.16 耶鲁基金表现情况
数据来源:星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0004-0006.jpg?sign=1739318898-7M6ZZ4bsZJ4eEamYRdVzziKiemIsg7JO-0-bfa81bbc7d25a33c8d5aa39198edbe85)
图3.22 从1926年7月到2013年8月美股四大板块的收益率走势对比
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0004-0007.jpg?sign=1739318898-qqQOKkaS1UFmt4L40SomA1WFaBVpU6NJ-0-8d380ba1ca3b66bb37d2957ef2a12827)
图3.26 先锋平衡指数基金历史表现
资料来源:先锋公司官网
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0004-0008.jpg?sign=1739318898-G8drCWQ6OVZptIS95KSW00J76yKkVJaH-0-3ecac4760e773c017d178ef9f802ad4c)
图3.30 多资产ETF跟踪指数走势历史表现对比
资料来源:彭博
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0005-0009.jpg?sign=1739318898-bkxPBCL5MFjNJr8PCqmOxwng874YeY1X-0-dbb54b439ce1f979645d5433356b68f3)
图4.3 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(年度调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0005-0010.jpg?sign=1739318898-WVdh3JD1uMFu2pbzNGBDqJJMXYSJRzoD-0-5f00fd49918dc357da8076b667e3324a)
图4.4 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(季度调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0005-0011.jpg?sign=1739318898-zywARd6d0NBSU8Ird2pmjHreHTBFhRqp-0-cf49d924d18b150f89ca9fb3802318f3)
图4.5 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(月度调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0006-0012.jpg?sign=1739318898-CWkojZJo9amvCPFy9UFPvjuMAiRmPFyh-0-8bcdf676e7f9580cf5255211d7ab1ca6)
图4.6 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(两周调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0006-0013.jpg?sign=1739318898-mkJrKx3o7OEwdNs8Dbdi1wLfswoBeOi1-0-10e8a8e3b16ee47a634bdc112c1c9eb8)
图4.7 基于价值因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0006-0014.jpg?sign=1739318898-1sefnyhZBr1nj4RRtS7ze6BqH6H2znIE-0-cd5f6f2d081fda20050e94740e053bf2)
图4.8 基于成长因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0007-0015.jpg?sign=1739318898-gYYj5IjIXxSyuQHdtGstvvSldbsGVpss-0-42e105b824fdb1089c8f7a0572757de4)
图4.9 基于质量因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0007-0016.jpg?sign=1739318898-bPlDiIXninDXml4Y0p4wxbNuWpDBYQ4J-0-811c4639a438ef5ed3ae05fa5cac3c60)
图4.10 基于股息因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0007-0017.jpg?sign=1739318898-PJZ0fL3Bl2HK4qwgggivEubZHGETNhjY-0-7f6127d22d739329b89f9240fe63b221)
图4.11 基于规模因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0008-0018.jpg?sign=1739318898-kxF4aLyX2wYaSPUd0IJgYntrHK8MWnTU-0-3e4f72f68d1184c3e46a59d4cb4633d0)
图4.12 基于动量因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0008-0019.jpg?sign=1739318898-aNmgvzBqt3iE2V6o58HSl0x94n3Mjocp-0-30807fd977cad582465bfa1154d7ee5f)
图4.13 基于反转因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0008-0020.jpg?sign=1739318898-35kTWDiS2FZRxulGeNHdSvmWLutn3s7Z-0-d1b60e4685ec28e0b066fe16e558ba11)
图4.14 基于分析师预期因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0009-0021.jpg?sign=1739318898-vc6AzhTKH99fiiAzLyIt1YTM4FrQvQ8o-0-ae391aa31c0ed2dd1ea7a7ae41d83b2b)
图4.15 基于情绪因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0009-0022.jpg?sign=1739318898-N5Pg2xddyxDJUUNTVq1gzqYLj74eWsQa-0-e361af117c0eba74feb399ead8824919)
图4.16 基于人气指标因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0009-0023.jpg?sign=1739318898-Jb09hEPJSNS9pl6fvZN1Ub3phW0R9Zjd-0-e2151bf44ecc97108a53f04f5a453cb6)
图4.17 基于波动因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0010-0024.jpg?sign=1739318898-DpWynznHyxOwa0VKRfp2qnvfNiYz9vFV-0-cc6ebe1328e1e62bc075d3cd84ed0f70)
图4.19 基于多因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0010-0025.jpg?sign=1739318898-6bw8216PrEW5Xa4om8uUR5fcl5MsmgPP-0-b3d787cf6bdf9b6db5fd726293480aa1)
图4.20 回测净值曲线图(含货币型基金指数)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0011-0026.jpg?sign=1739318898-qIwNPZWcSmOacXg9Cy9iOR5uyrXG4X6L-0-f8023648c2eb9d1b264fa5f8da736242)
图4.21 回测净值曲线图(剔除货币型基金指数)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0011-0027.jpg?sign=1739318898-hbCLkixjIH8WwdCO9gsa5d1dHDdaSFQ2-0-23ba9aad0ae970793c22975edbf78e26)
图5.6 火鸡策略曲线
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0011-0028.jpg?sign=1739318898-Q7zwxq9TvcYtiWg8UAUa9BJgeODO9XFY-0-d2837221dd9019f72431cf28d4a0e5e8)
图5.20 市场情绪指标择时策略
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0012-0029.jpg?sign=1739318898-nn06NUMJZ6vMy47Byd0v87SJtqa2NETs-0-2637160c2e01003dc2675a6f1178c9a7)
图5.30 各资产净值走势
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0012-0030.jpg?sign=1739318898-wYC8WUlDcwYLTMFAfz1IJ3UeB4nWjuOd-0-3fdfca8ca77aab51ef19729a0c8c5d61)
图6.1 大类资产时间序列动量策略回测表现
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0012-0031.jpg?sign=1739318898-Fc4jekU27yG8BdOsKlI2VntVQHR9l0aU-0-2eb38dd04ab98ad150cd508f4513422e)
图6.3 大类资产横截面动量策略回测表现
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0013-0032.jpg?sign=1739318898-zMR9VyragTSD9tJuRzCvBdmc2z6EGH1F-0-8cb8382efc6ec428c740dbac8c497ce2)
图6.4 改进的横截面动量策略回测表现
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0013-0033.jpg?sign=1739318898-M7C5mkaexsewVPaWoUv48sIJFBX3SAVM-0-20a2b0d3c276db6aede423a0756d09fc)
图6.5 时间序列动量与横截面动量的叠加
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0013-0034.jpg?sign=1739318898-KuRkudZPereRBpKijhZtp2nwCqtmdEex-0-f88eaa3161e18236d46654014b4d40b0)
图6.15 奇异谱模型回测结果
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0014-0035.jpg?sign=1739318898-fjK3pAu2q2wGO8b3iVpvwbD45PxYeBSE-0-e17dc098557b4a35598ff28348584f1e)
图6.16 申万一级行业指数单季度涨跌幅统计(%)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0014-0036.jpg?sign=1739318898-5NgvxHOKYjzHx88GLIjlRTvkhbWt470j-0-c83643fca7478f555981a0dbc17c2833)
图6.21 多期风格雷达——大摩多因子策略(数据日期:2015年4月)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0014-0037.jpg?sign=1739318898-CAnnYrb2502ZedoRRqvBKQQgn9EIsx82-0-ececef788bcc4faeb1db04d4df42eaa3)
图6.22 基于风格雷达的FOF表现(数据 日 期:2014/12—2016/1)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0015-0038.jpg?sign=1739318898-huZo0l9otHewLMSPfvEfdi80pXRkEFsC-0-42af6e5d37466623d88afd38bdfe6380)
图6.24 某只基金的半年、季、月频风格画像
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0015-0039.jpg?sign=1739318898-Cmg5VM9sivBz2hbsp9l2gfFQVNDxWrRk-0-67d072dfc7f663f65d3ef3a272e3c16e)
图6.28 策略净值曲线
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0015-0040.jpg?sign=1739318898-WaK82NuMRbTg3iQhmpdnR2kOSBmcrM8X-0-1e87ca934e604fd2004c8cb5f176e0ae)
图6.30 策略被选基金统计
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0016-0041.jpg?sign=1739318898-Jyo9vI6GUmAgt1wMTaN9pSKyPwJFk99z-0-87f4126d5761d396c9111fe75bb2a070)
图6.38 沪深300指数(大盘指数)、中证500指数(中小盘指数)和中证1000指数(小盘指数)走势图对比
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0016-0042.jpg?sign=1739318898-wfOdPf3ulHH4KbrKf3pd7TynBHfQ2pGO-0-824230cf601313359e88a55d8fa07231)
图6.40 标准二分类Logistic模型轮动策略收益率
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0016-0043.jpg?sign=1739318898-eZDFyDpGeTa1jwmlPjybaviBZGGJlazx-0-f6592d2fd8d915825b36cc463cf0df05)
图6.41 有序多分类Logistic模型轮动策略收益率
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0017-0044.jpg?sign=1739318898-EElOMMFjWuizatbWAWSHsd07CivLTyG7-0-a8b08eab27889bc3f584669e756ae9dd)
图7.4 国外目标日期策略指数的配置变化
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0017-0045.jpg?sign=1739318898-rZOY5awa5PdSeSJv2i3p7Rk3zJSEjykR-0-2232ce840cdf4b2d245bed7e73e23ab0)
图7.9 中证平安2025退休宝指数走势
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0017-0046.jpg?sign=1739318898-6241MzX12lFEvFDbr4wUvneFfHc7xtLO-0-1b43e18f50f70d019f16da293c111f93)
图7.13 标普500每日风险控制系列指数走势图
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0018-0047.jpg?sign=1739318898-Tkg0uMTiJj7rXMli18a1RenfA8C8K84v-0-3e9139780a8f027f57f84f678058680e)
图7.14 标普目标风险系列指数走势
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0018-0048.jpg?sign=1739318898-lHgDNT7qBKtdwx9LZdEeNy7ANpaK5yrS-0-a510a56c9feb89d165b07c586579bbb0)
图8.11 对冲基金FOF的模拟业绩
数据来源:Risk Parity Portfolios with Risk Factors
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0018-0049.jpg?sign=1739318898-D6UwyzhTorWLX4hpOl5E9jB1VzOh7yAK-0-0d4d29cd01c0ff0a6805a05e42c72a69)
图9.7 2000—2015年总体基金的资产配置变化图
数据来源:星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0019-0050.jpg?sign=1739318898-a2eBXdhO1SpWr75zwXCOu0Cu3tjGwGYo-0-cf15817555ddbc706564bd6e0bc58c9d)
图11.1 多因子模型的收益率曲线
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0019-0051.jpg?sign=1739318898-WB2XWOrZna08yOE5FsOEhfFvO88HRjWt-0-db6e1514b239f4e71f670634f85a083f)
图11.2 大/小盘风格轮动策略收益率曲线
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0019-0052.jpg?sign=1739318898-SfbC4JFsalzhWes2TcJEVa0BY0G5Wpe8-0-534b4882ee2ce47ba473ac55909c0ae0)
图11.3 顺周期行业轮动策略的收益率图示
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0020-0053.jpg?sign=1739318898-nRnT2vjj8IA83YzRN999gw79E4d5oXOc-0-f15cd79f48b097396706afb3afb8df6c)
图11.7 2006年一致预期EPS相对于2005年实际EPS的增速
数据来源:[谢江 2008]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0020-0054.jpg?sign=1739318898-dsuy6k81GHuOp8KiMbQ2nT82cxurRnhz-0-bfa53d096b0159132068b62caa8075fb)
图11.8 不同一致预期指标的收益率曲线
数据来源:[卜永强 2012]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0020-0055.jpg?sign=1739318898-jwC9ebejL8Kgujaa5ui3fh01NwkmgsZV-0-642ca5c76284618d2f2d7d333c609273)
图11.9 筹码选股模型中单个指标在不同年份的收益率情况
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0056.jpg?sign=1739318898-DRtlL1BsVcF1kITKi6O3uaP1s1bVMLWf-0-4bd184c139826949be9638b8de189c9d)
图11.10 筹码选股模型中单个指标的收益率曲线
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0057.jpg?sign=1739318898-bFTTEIBOhiG9f1VB8FQPdfwNa67TyLzB-0-dc9ebc39fe910f325702cf0dbbca1ead)
图11.15 追踪组合与指数的累计收益率图2004.1.2—2007.3.30)
数据来源:[金志宏 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0058.jpg?sign=1739318898-Dl9bdlhOzzz89LQ0I0nq0h8dofTF8Ptt-0-18debc4334bdeeccd7151c123b51e117)
图11.16 追踪组合与指数的累计收益率图(2004.1.2—2005.12.30)
数据来源:[金志宏 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0059.jpg?sign=1739318898-SxCgvD1Ycy74ZAug89n8roMl7jMJ4yXa-0-1f200745fae91bfe4d67128e1cd684a0)
图11.17 追踪组合与指数的累计收益率图(2006.1.4—2007.3.30)
数据来源:[金志宏 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0022-0060.jpg?sign=1739318898-6oRKc1DEPc1r4vcfO6jezekVKhxdyxjR-0-3dc4f97e0d407fb8dcfcc4906bdef82f)
图11.31 正向基差套利原理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0022-0061.jpg?sign=1739318898-abSoFjE1bvhTB7QG8T9gxScCRpkIdqPx-0-207e3ef00b9f98cee9cddde0e318767e)
图16.1 Bridgewater的绝对阿尔法累计收益率对比
数据来源:MPI Case Study
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0022-0062.jpg?sign=1739318898-s0QumjdY1OKMZVvzcl8ix5AprAe6x7Kv-0-7c9022e4e25b89a35b1e19d84847a037)
图16.9 长期资本管理基金净值走势