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书名：“一带一路”视野下中国在印度洋四大经济走廊的发展

作者：智宇琛，马文琤，杨玉鑫

出版社：中国社会科学出版社

出版时间：2017-04

ISBN：9787520300957

本书由中国社会科学出版社授权上海阅文信息技术有限公司进行制作与发行

摘要：随着“一带一路”六大经济走廊建设的推进和深入，沿线国家所存在的政治风险、投资风险、恐怖主义威胁以及地缘政治风险也越来越多地暴露出来，中亚和南亚成为困难最为集中的地区。本报告在系统分析中亚、南亚地缘政治热点基础上，提出了构建“大中亚经济圈”“印度洋经济圈”和“孟加拉湾经济圈”的建议。

在中亚地区，俄罗斯和伊朗虽然传统上没有被视为中亚国家，但在中亚地区具有很大影响力；巴基斯坦问题、阿富汗问题对中亚的发展也造成影响；中亚国家自身发展程度也较低。建议构建“大中亚经济圈”，统筹应对上述风险与挑战。

中亚、南亚的地缘政治形势影响了中巴经济走廊向南、向北的发展空间，同时中国与非洲东部国家合作态势良好，埃塞俄比亚—吉布提经济走廊、肯尼亚—乌干达经济走廊和坦桑尼亚—卢旺达经济走廊开始逐渐成型，因此建议依托四大经济走廊构建中国—印度洋经济圈。

孟加拉湾地区各国发展水平参差不齐，且缺乏地区化动力和意识，因此区域经济一体化水平较低。这对孟中印缅经济走廊发展带来不利影响。因此，建议重视印度作用，将印度尼西亚、马尔代夫、斯里兰卡等国统一纳入“孟加拉湾经济圈”，促进区域经济一体化。

关键词：“一带一路” 俄罗斯伊朗印度中巴经济走廊孟加拉湾

Abstract: With the development of the construction of the six economic corridor in the Belt and Road, political risk, investment risk, the menace from terrorism and geopolitics risk are exposed in the countries along the route. The Central Asia and South Asia has the most serious problems among all areas.This report offers proposals about building（Great Central Asia Economic Circle）, Indian Ocean Economic Circle and the Bay of Bengal Economic Circle based on an analysis on hot political issue of Central Asia and South Asia.

In Central Asia, although Russia and Iran are not regarded as traditional Central Asia countries, they have great influence in Central Asia; the issues of Pakistan and Afghanistan also impact the development of Central Asia; the degree of development of Central Asia countries is in a lower position.This report suggests that constructing（Great Central Asia Economic Circle）should coordinate and well deal with the risk and challenge mentioned above.

The southward and northward development space of China-Pakistan Economic Corridor is effected by geopolitical situation of Central Asia and South Asia.At the meanwhile, China has a good cooperation relationship with East African countries.Ethiopia -Djibouti economic corridor，Uganda-Kenya economic corridor and Rwanda-Tanzania economic corridor is gradually taking shape.Therefore, this report suggests that constructing China-Indian Ocean Economic Circle should rely on the four economic corridor.

The development levels of countries around the Bay of Bengal are differentiated and these countries also lack of regional motivation and awareness, as a consequence, regional economical integration is still at a low level.This might cause negative influence to the development of the Bay of Bengal-China-India-Myanmar（BCIM）economic corridor.Therefore, this report suggests paying more attention to the role of India, and putting Indonesia, Maldives and Sri Lanka into the the Bay of Bengal Economic Circle in order to promote regional economical integration.

Key Words: The Belt and Road, Russia, Iran, India, China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, the Bay of Bengal